Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alibek KachmazovHelsinki CH Qualifying Round 2

Helsinki CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 November 2021
hard
#782ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Mochizuki S.
7-5 6-7 7-6
Kachmazov A.
Mochizuki S.
762772
Kachmazov A.
577651

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Alibek Kachmazov 7-5 6-7 7-6 in the Helsinki CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alibek Kachmazov came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Shintaro Mochizuki claimed a first win over Alibek Kachmazov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenQ1hardAlibek Kachmazov6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kachmazov A.

Kachmazov A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
49
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
82
Break points won·Dominant
55
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
47
61
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
5.3+41 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1490
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast