Alibek Kachmazov vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Australian Open Qualifying Round 1

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
RUS
Alibek Kachmazov
#779ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Shintaro Mochizuki
JPN22
Shintaro Mochizuki
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Kachmazov A.
6-3 7-6
Mochizuki S.
Kachmazov A.
6772
Mochizuki S.
3610

Alibek Kachmazov defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 7-6 in the Australian Open qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #151, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kachmazov A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kachmazov A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kachmazov A.Mochizuki S.
1st serve in·Even
58%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kachmazov A.Mochizuki S.
Clutch Rating·Even
49
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
74
Break points won·Dominant
16
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
61
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kachmazov A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mochizuki S.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1425
4.8Overall Elo 1490
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
9.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kachmazov A.Mochizuki S.
Freshness·
—
80

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Q3
Boyer T.[26]
Eubanks C.[4]
6-46-4
Dougaz A.
Gojo B.
6-43-66-1
Tien L.[16]
Kovalik J.[21]
6-36-4
Faria J.[17]
Lajal M.
6-42-66-4
Gigante M.[32]
Rocha H.
6-47-5
Garin C.
Dellien H.[18]
6-26-3
Krueger M.
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-756-4
Habib H.
Chidekh C.
6-43-67-68
Koepfer D.[1]
Ellis B.
7-57-5
Basilashvili N.
Passaro F.[5]
6-36-3
Klein L.[28]
Atmane T.
6-46-1
Monteiro T.[6]
Coppejans K.
6-46-3
Onclin G.
Mcdonald M.[25]
6-777-656-1
Landaluce M.
Svrcina D.
2-66-17-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Harris B.[19]
7-56-2
Fonseca J.
Tirante T.[12]
6-46-1
Q2
Mcdonald M.[25]
Holt B.
6-46-4
Majchrzak K.[14]
Svajda Z.
6-756-16-2
Dougaz A.
Hassan B.
3-67-656-4
Svrcina D.
Sultanov K.
6-31-66-3
Tien L.[16]
Ficovich J.
6-46-2
Basilashvili N.
Kachmazov A.
7-56-4
Dellien H.[18]
Kasnikowski M.
3-67-56-2
Uchiyama Y.
Vallejo A.
4-66-36-4
Eubanks C.[4]
Moro Canas A.
6-36-3
Boyer T.[26]
Barrios Vera T.
5-76-36-4
Coppejans K.
Vacherot V.[31]
6-47-63
Gigante M.[32]
Neumayer L.
6-36-4
Habib H.
Tseng C.[13]
6-47-62
Landaluce M.
Trotter J.
6-47-5
Harris B.[19]
Taberner C.
6-16-2
Ellis B.
Watanuki Y.
6-16-4
Krueger M.
Ajdukovic D.
6-46-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Quinn E.
3-67-56-1
Chidekh C.
Kym J.[27]
6-706-36-2
Tirante T.[12]
Droguet T.
6-47-64
Monteiro T.[6]
Royer V.
7-616-3
Lajal M.
Shimabukuro S.
2-67-666-4
Fonseca J.
Wong C.
6-06-3
Atmane T.
Bellucci M.[2]
7-676-4
Klein L.[28]
Spizzirri E.
6-36-4
Rocha H.
Fucsovics M.[3]
6-27-63
Onclin G.
Kovacevic A.[7]
3-67-656-1
Garin C.
Djere L.[10]
6-41-67-5
Gojo B.
Kopriva V.[24]
2-66-36-2
Passaro F.[5]
Barranco Cosano J.
4-66-37-68
Faria J.[17]
Sweeny D.
6-26-2
Kovalik J.[21]
Holmgren A.
6-736-37-5
Q1
Tirante T.[12]
Rodionov J.
7-654-66-4
Klein L.[28]
Galarneau A.
6-43-67-5
Kachmazov A.
Mochizuki S.[22]
6-37-61
Vallejo A.
Andreev A.
6-46-4
Fucsovics M.[3]
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-4
Neumayer L.
Moller E.
6-756-36-4
Krueger M.
Jianu F.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Escoffier A.
6-26-1
Tien L.[16]
Barrere G.
4-67-646-1
Spizzirri E.
Blockx A.
3-66-17-5
Kovacevic A.[7]
Collarini A.
7-656-4
Shimabukuro S.
Albot R.
6-26-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Buse I.
2-66-37-65
Ficovich J.
Jubb P.
6-46-4
Boyer T.[26]
Sakamoto R.
6-06-2
Holt B.
Mager G.
7-666-2
Gigante M.[32]
Hardt N.
6-26-2
Passaro F.[5]
Zeppieri G.
6-37-63
Rocha H.
Squire H.
6-36-3
Monteiro T.[6]
Kubler J.
7-647-64
Landaluce M.
Collignon R.[15]
6-36-3
Barranco Cosano J.
Mena F.
6-46-2
Svajda Z.
Couacaud E.
6-36-2
Vacherot V.[31]
Huesler M.
6-36-4
Tseng C.[13]
Arnaboldi F.
6-26-4
Harris B.[19]
Shimizu Y.
6-746-46-4
Faria J.[17]
Brouwer G.
6-46-3
Gojo B.
Skatov T.
6-36-4
Atmane T.
Dellavedova M.
4-66-36-3
Sweeny D.
Herbert P.
7-646-2
Trotter J.
Evans D.
6-43-66-3
Habib H.
Kypson P.
6-47-66
Lajal M.
Kukushkin M.[9]
6-06-2
Svrcina D.
Blanchet U.
3-66-26-3
Taberner C.
Winter E.
6-47-5
Onclin G.
Burruchaga R.
1-66-07-67
Sultanov K.
Galan D.[20]
6-36-727-5
Ajdukovic D.
Gasquet R.[23]
7-646-3
Quinn E.
Hemery C.
6-47-5
Bellucci M.[2]
Marinkov P.
6-36-3
Watanuki Y.
Cerundolo J.[30]
6-37-63
Djere L.[10]
Heide G.
6-36-1
Droguet T.
Choinski J.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.[25]
Bolt A.
6-26-2
Holmgren A.
Jones H.
7-684-67-68
Moro Canas A.
Varillas J.
6-737-666-4
Dellien H.[18]
Marterer M.
6-36-3
Eubanks C.[4]
Grenier H.
7-617-5
Dougaz A.
De Jong J.[8]
6-756-17-65
Kopriva V.[24]
Lestienne C.
6-34-1
Chidekh C.
Meligeni Alves F.
4-66-10-0
Kym J.[27]
Van Rijthoven T.
6-06-3
Kovalik J.[21]
Tomic B.
6-36-1
Hassan B.
Mejia N.
6-45-76-4
Kasnikowski M.
Gaubas V.
6-777-626-2
Barrios Vera T.
Nava E.
7-607-63
Fonseca J.
Gomez F.[29]
6-46-0
Uchiyama Y.
Mayot H.[11]
6-47-65
Garin C.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-1
Basilashvili N.
Hewitt C.
6-16-4
Royer V.
Polmans M.
6-36-0
Wong C.
Popko D.
7-53-67-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Trungelliti M.
3-67-646-3
Coppejans K.
Martineau M.
2-67-656-1