Tommy Paul vs Frances TiafoeStockholm Semi-final

Stockholm · ATP · Semi-final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Paul T.
5-7 7-6 6-4
Tiafoe F.
Paul T.
57762
Tiafoe F.
76541

Tommy Paul defeated Frances Tiafoe 5-7 7-6 6-4 in the Stockholm semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 3–1. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30HoustonSFclayTommy Paul7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2024-02-12Delray BeachSFhardTommy Paul6-2 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2R32hardTommy Paul6-2 6-3
2020-02-17Delray BeachR16hardFrances Tiafoe7-5 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Tiafoe F.
71
Serve
38
54
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
8.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
83
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
87
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+20 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1861
5.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1918
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
6.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
0.3
4.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
82

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%