Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryMontevideo CH Round of 16

Montevideo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
clay
#30ATP
1812ELO
1767Clay ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-6 6-2 7-5
Etcheverry T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4672
Etcheverry T.
6251

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 4-6 6-2 7-5 in the Montevideo CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Martin Etcheverry came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Camilo Ugo Carabelli had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardCamilo Ugo Carabelli7-5 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardTomas Martin Etcheverry6-3 6-2 6-0
2025-05-18HamburgR16clayTomas Martin Etcheverry6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Etcheverry T.

Etcheverry T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T.
24
Serve
60
36
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Dominant
62
36
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
83
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
5.8+27 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1812
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.0
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.3
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Etcheverry T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast