Tommy Paul vs Alexei PopyrinParis Masters Qualifying Round 2

Paris Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Paul T.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Popyrin A.
Paul T.
4662
Popyrin A.
6431

Tommy Paul defeated Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Paris Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayTommy Paul6-3 6-3 6-3
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR16grassTommy Paul5-7 6-4 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersQ2hardTommy Paul4-6 6-4 6-3
2021-02-01Murray River OpenR32hardAlexei Popyrin6-4 6-3
2019-08-05Canada MastersQ1hardTommy Paul6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Popyrin A.
71
Serve
40
54
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
9.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
59
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
87
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
75
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast