Sebastian Baez vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBuenos Aires CH Semi-final

Buenos Aires CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Baez S.
6-1 6-2
Cerundolo J.
Baez S.
662
Cerundolo J.
120

Sebastian Baez defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-1 6-2 in the Buenos Aires CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45, but Sebastian Baez had arrived on a 7-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Cerundolo J.
1
Serve
19
44
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
82
Break points won·Slight edge
86
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
4.7+44 Clay Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1790
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
6.7
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.6
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast