Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezWinston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
#51ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 2nd on
#50ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWL
Cerundolo J.
6-2 4-0
Baez S.
Cerundolo J.
642
Baez S.
200

Juan Manuel Cerundolo advanced to the quarterfinals of the Winston-Salem tournament with a victory over Sebastian Baez in the Round of 16. Cerundolo won the match 6-2, 4-0. He hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Baez had 0 aces and 1 double fault; Cerundolo converted 56% of his break points and Baez converted 25%.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-10-06M15 Santiago 1FclayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-1 2-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
86
Break points won·Slight edge
71
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Cerundolo J.56%
Baez S.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1658
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1759
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
64
64

Cerundolo J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Baez S.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw