Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo ArnaldiErcolano CH Round of 16

Ercolano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#9ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 October 2021
clay
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Cobolli F.
6-1 3-6 6-2
Arnaldi M.
Cobolli F.
6362
Arnaldi M.
1621

Flavio Cobolli defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-1 3-6 6-2 in the Ercolano CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR64clayFlavio Cobolli6-3 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1
2023-07-24UmagR16clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cobolli F.Arnaldi M.
53
Serve
56
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
5.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Clear edge
35
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
86
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+32 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1830
7.0Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
71
97

Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast