Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
Elena Rybakina
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
Elise Mertens
BEL15
Elise Mertens
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Rybakina E.
6-3 6-2
Mertens E.
Rybakina E.
662
Mertens E.
320

Elena Rybakina defeated Elise Mertens 6-3 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's round of 64. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

6–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassElise Mertens7.7-6.4 6-1
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina4-6 6-3 7-5
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-2
2024-01-01BrisbaneR16hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-0
2023-03-20MiamiR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-04-29MadridR32clayElise Mertens7-6(4) 7-5
2020-01-06ShenzhenQFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Mertens E.
100
Serve
51
34
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Mertens E.
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Mertens E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
96
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Mertens E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+263 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1847
8.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1894
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
5.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Mertens E.
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mertens E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw

Final
Barty A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Teichmann J.
Pliskova K.[5]
6-26-4
Barty A.[1]
Kerber A.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Pliskova K.[5]
Badosa P.
7-52-0
Barty A.[1]
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-26-4
Teichmann J.
Bencic B.[10]
6-36-2
Kerber A.
Kvitova P.[11]
6-43-3
R16
Bencic B.[10]
Muchova K.
7-52-1
Pliskova K.[5]
Pegula J.
6-47-65
Barty A.[1]
Azarenka V.[14]
6-06-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Muguruza G.[8]
6-16-756-2
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.
4-66-27-5
Kvitova P.[11]
Jabeur O.
6-16-2
Badosa P.
Rybakina E.
6-27-65
Teichmann J.
Osaka N.[2]
3-66-36-3
R32
Pegula J.
Halep S.[12]
W/O
Kvitova P.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-4
Pliskova K.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Sabalenka A.[3]
5-76-27-64
Muchova K.
Andreescu B.[7]
6-46-2
Bencic B.[10]
Rogers S.
7-616-1
Ostapenko J.
Brady J.[13]
6-725-4
Teichmann J.
Pera B.
6-16-4
Osaka N.[2]
Gauff C.
4-66-36-4
Muguruza G.[8]
Garcia C.
6-46-3
Barty A.[1]
Watson H.
6-47-63
Azarenka V.[14]
Riske Amritraj A.
6-27-5
Krejcikova B.[9]
Yastremska D.
6-17-65
Kerber A.
Svitolina E.[4]
7-52-66-4
Jabeur O.
Swiatek I.[6]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.
Mertens E.[15]
6-36-2
R64
Yastremska D.
Mcnally C.
7-637-61
Azarenka V.[14]
Samsonova L.
6-26-3
Riske Amritraj A.
Fernandez L.
6-26-2
Watson H.
Sasnovich A.
6-23-66-1
Kvitova P.[11]
Keys M.
7-56-4
Pegula J.
Giorgi C.
6-26-2
Kerber A.
Sakkari M.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.
Zidansek T.
7-56-1
Brady J.[13]
Alexandrova E.
6-37-63
Kudermetova V.
Paolini J.
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Zhang S.
6-26-0
Halep S.[12]
Linette M.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.
Martic P.
4-66-47-69
Mertens E.[15]
Podoroska N.
6-36-4
Rybakina E.
Stosur S.
6-36-3
Rogers S.
Collins D.
6-42-1
Muchova K.
Konta J.
3-67-656-2
Garcia C.
Stephens S.
7-674-66-4
Krejcikova B.[9]
Kasatkina D.
6-36-2
Bencic B.[10]
Vondrousova M.
6-37-5
Pera B.
Peterson R.
6-46-1
Gauff C.
Hsieh S.
6-16-2
Jabeur O.
Kontaveit A.
6-24-67-5
Teichmann J.
Cirstea S.
6-26-0