Elise Mertens vs Elena RybakinaMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1894ELO
1811Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 29 April 2021
clay
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Mertens E.
7-6 7-5
Rybakina E.
Mertens E.
7772
Rybakina E.
6450

Elise Mertens defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 7-5 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 7–1. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

17
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassElise Mertens7.7-6.4 6-1
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina4-6 6-3 7-5
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-2
2024-01-01BrisbaneR16hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-0
2023-03-20MiamiR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2020-01-06ShenzhenQFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mertens E.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Even
96
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
92

Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw