Angelique Kerber vs Jelena OstapenkoCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
38 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Kerber A.
4-6 6-2 7-5
Ostapenko J.
Kerber A.
4672
Ostapenko J.
6251

Angelique Kerber defeated Jelena Ostapenko 4-6 6-2 7-5 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Angelique Kerber came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Angelique Kerber extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06Indian WellsR64hardAngelique Kerber5-7 6-3 6-3
2021-05-10RomeR16clayJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-3 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonSFgrassAngelique Kerber6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kerber A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kerber A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kerber A.Ostapenko J.
Serve
10
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
79
Break points won·Slight edge
95
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
96
Tiebreaks·Even
90
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
6.1
Country comfort
5.4
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw