Jelena Ostapenko vs Angelique KerberRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 May 2021
clay
38 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
Ostapenko J.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.
4662
Kerber A.
6341

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Angelique Kerber 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Angelique Kerber came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko claimed a first win over Angelique Kerber in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06Indian WellsR64hardAngelique Kerber5-7 6-3 6-3
2021-08-16CincinnatiR16hardAngelique Kerber4-6 6-2 7-5
2018-07-02WimbledonSFgrassAngelique Kerber6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kerber A.

Kerber A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
91
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Even
87
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw