Pablo Carreno Busta vs Hubert HurkaczCincinnati Masters Round of 16

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Carreno Busta P.
7-6 7-6
Hurkacz H.
Carreno Busta P.
78772
Hurkacz H.
66630

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Hubert Hurkacz 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 32. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-08Canada MastersFhardPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-3 6-3
2021-09-20MetzFhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Hurkacz H.
21
Serve
67
44
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
14.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
78
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Clear edge
61
40
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8+18 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1727
4.2Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1798
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
4.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
72

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%