Karolina Pliskova vs Aryna SabalenkaMontreal Semi-final

Montreal · WTA · Semi-final
#64WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Pliskova K.
6-3 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Pliskova K.
662
Sabalenka A.
340

Karolina Pliskova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 6-4 in the Montreal semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Karolina Pliskova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 7-6(4)
2021-06-28WimbledonSFgrassKarolina Pliskova5-7 6-4 6-4
2018-08-13CincinnatiR32hardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-3 7-5
2018-06-25EastbourneQFgrassAryna Sabalenka6-3 2-6 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pliskova K.Sabalenka A.
Serve
96
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (181 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
98
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1811
Surface ELO
10.0+391 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
90

Pliskova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

Semi-finals
Giorgi C.
Pegula J.
6-33-66-1
Pliskova K.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-36-4