Karolina Pliskova vs Aryna Sabalenka — Wimbledon Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Semi-final
Karolina Pliskova
CZE8
Karolina Pliskova
#64WTA
1869ELO
1758Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 June 2021
grass
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Pliskova K.
5-7 6-4 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Pliskova K.
5662
Sabalenka A.
7441

Karolina Pliskova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the Wimbledon semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Karolina Pliskova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 7-6(4)
2021-08-09MontrealSFhardKarolina Pliskova6-3 6-4
2018-08-13CincinnatiR32hardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-3 7-5
2018-06-25EastbourneQFgrassAryna Sabalenka6-3 2-6 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Pliskova K.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pliskova K.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
98
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pliskova K.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Sabalenka A.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Grass Elo 1758
Surface ELO
8.3+229 Grass Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pliskova K.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Slight edge
96
90

Pliskova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Barty A.[1]
Pliskova K.[8]
6-36-746-3
Semi-finals
Pliskova K.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
5-76-46-4
Barty A.[1]
Kerber A.[25]
6-37-63
Quarter-finals
Kerber A.[25]
Muchova K.[10]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jabeur O.[21]
6-46-3
Barty A.[1]
Tomljanovic A.
6-16-3
Pliskova K.[8]
Golubic V.
6-26-2
R16
Kerber A.[25]
Gauff C.[7]
6-46-4
Muchova K.[10]
Badosa P.[30]
7-666-4
Golubic V.
Keys M.[26]
7-636-3
Jabeur O.[21]
Swiatek I.[3]
5-76-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-34-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Raducanu E.[30]
6-43-0
Pliskova K.[8]
Samsonova L.
6-26-3
Barty A.[1]
Krejcikova B.[14]
7-56-3
R32
Barty A.[1]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-37-5
Raducanu E.[30]
Cirstea S.[17]
6-37-5
Muchova K.[10]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Begu I.
6-16-0
Gauff C.[7]
Juvan K.
6-36-3
Keys M.[26]
Mertens E.[25]
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Rogers S.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osorio C.
6-06-3
Jabeur O.[21]
Muguruza G.[11]
5-76-36-2
Kerber A.[25]
Sasnovich A.[15]
2-66-06-1
Pliskova K.[8]
Martincova T.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.
Stephens S.
6-22-66-4
Krejcikova B.[14]
Sevastova A.
7-613-67-5
Badosa P.[30]
Linette M.
5-76-26-4
Tomljanovic A.
Ostapenko J.
4-66-46-2
Golubic V.
Brengle M.
6-26-1
R64
Sasnovich A.[15]
Hibino N.
6-47-64
Mertens E.[25]
Zhu L.[30]
6-26-0
Siniakova K.[32]
Vandeweghe C.
4-66-26-2
Sevastova A.
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-66-46-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-26-4
Linette M.
Svitolina E.[8]
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Boulter K.
4-66-36-3
Cirstea S.[17]
Azarenka V.[12]
7-653-66-4
Osorio C.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Zvonareva V.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.
Pegula J.[4]
6-43-66-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Liu C.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[7]
Vesnina E.
6-46-3
Tomljanovic A.
Cornet A.
6-40-66-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
Pliskova K.
6-36-3
Muchova K.[10]
Giorgi C.
6-35-76-3
Krejcikova B.[14]
Petkovic A.
7-56-4
Martincova T.
Podoroska N.
6-37-65
Keys M.[26]
Davis L.
6-16-4
Brengle M.
Kenin S.[4]
6-26-4
Begu I.
Martic P.[26]
7-56-776-3
Jabeur O.[21]
Williams V.
7-56-0
Barty A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.
Kasatkina D.[31]
6-13-68-6
Juvan K.
Burel C.
6-36-4
Kerber A.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-55-76-4
Pliskova K.[8]
Vekic D.[31]
6-26-2
Stephens S.
Ahn K.
7-56-3
Golubic V.
Collins D.
6-26-0
Rogers S.
Sakkari M.[15]
7-56-4
Muguruza G.[11]
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[30]
Putintseva Y.
6-46-1
R128
Ahn K.
Watson H.
2-67-638-6
Giorgi C.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-26-2
Zhu L.[30]
Barthel M.
6-726-36-3
Pliskova K.[8]
Zidansek T.[26]
7-56-4
Begu I.
Volynets K.[5]
6-47-5
Siniakova K.[32]
Wang Y.
6-16-0
Petkovic A.
Paolini J.[13]
6-46-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Bertens K.[17]
6-36-4
Ostapenko J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-16-2
Cornet A.
Andreescu B.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Anisimova A.[6]
2-66-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Niculescu M.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[14]
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-2
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Diatchenko V.
7-646-0
Cirstea S.[17]
Murray S.
6-36-3
Juvan K.
Bencic B.[11]
6-36-3
Gauff C.[7]
Jones F.
7-56-4
Liu C.
Doi M.
2-66-39-7
Rybakina E.[2]
Mladenovic K.
6-46-0
Alexandrova E.[18]
Siegemund L.
6-16-3
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
1-66-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-32-66-3
Sasnovich A.[15]
Williams S.[6]
3-3
Podoroska N.
Li A.[28]
6-47-61
Samsonova L.
Kanepi K.
6-46-2
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[29]
3-66-111-9
Swiatek I.[3]
Hsieh S.
6-46-4
Zvonareva V.
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-56-4
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Kuznetsova S.
6-36-3
Burel C.
Perez E.
6-26-2
Barty A.[1]
Suarez Navarro C.
6-16-716-1
Vandeweghe C.
Govortsova O.
6-46-2
Badosa P.[30]
Bolsova A.
6-25-76-2
Pliskova K.
Sharma A.
3-66-46-4
Pegula J.[4]
Garcia C.
6-36-1
Martincova T.
Riske Amritraj A.[28]
6-24-66-1
Blinkova A.
Babos T.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Diyas Z.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[31]
Tig P.
6-03-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Minnen G.
6-27-65
Putintseva Y.
Pironkova T.
6-36-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Vesnina E.
Trevisan M.
7-56-1
Kerber A.[25]
Stojanovic N.
6-46-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Konjuh A.
6-33-66-3
Hibino N.
Pera B.
6-15-76-3
Vekic D.[31]
Potapova A.[27]
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Davis L.
Burrage J.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Swan K.
6-36-4
Collins D.
Hercog P.
4-66-36-2
Brengle M.
Mchale C.
3-67-510-8
Kenin S.[4]
Wang X.
6-46-2
Martic P.[26]
Gracheva V.
6-736-46-3
Muguruza G.[11]
Ferro F.
6-06-1
Sakkari M.[15]
Rus A.
6-16-1
Jabeur O.[21]
Peterson R.
6-26-1
Williams V.
Buzarnescu M.
7-54-66-3
Rogers S.
Stosur S.
6-15-76-3
Boulter K.
Lao D.
6-766-36-4
Azarenka V.[12]
Baindl K.
6-16-3
Vondrousova M.
Kontaveit A.[24]
2-66-46-2