Alex De Minaur vs Marin CilicQueen's Club Quarter-final

Queen's Club · ATP · Quarter-final
#5ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 June 2021
grass
#88ATP
1800ELO
1756Grass ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
De Minaur A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Cilic M.
De Minaur A.
3662
Cilic M.
6341

Alex De Minaur defeated Marin Cilic 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Queen's Club quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24DubaiR32hardMarin Cilic6-2 3-6 6-3
2022-11-25Davis Cup Finals SF: AUS vs CRORRhardAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2
2021-11-25Davis Cup Finals RR: CRO vs AUSRRhardMarin Cilic6-1 5-7 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR32hardMarin Cilic4-6 3-6 6-3 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
10.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 191). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
76
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
41
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+78 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1756
7.1Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.1
Minutes 14d
2.9
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
98

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%