Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov — Stuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Quarter-final
Marin Cilic
CRO
Marin Cilic
#62ATP
1800ELO
1756Grass ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 June 2021
grass
Denis Shapovalov
CAN1
Denis Shapovalov
#41ATP
1771ELO
1636Grass ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Cilic M.
7-5 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Cilic M.
7772
Shapovalov D.
5630

Marin Cilic defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-5 7-6 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

3–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-08s HertogenboschR32grassMarin Cilic6.5-7.7 6-4 7-5
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardMarin Cilic6-4 6-3 6-2
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersR64hardDenis Shapovalov6-3 6-3
2020-02-17MarseilleR16hardDenis Shapovalov6-4 4-6 6-2
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-2
2018-10-22BaselR32hardMarin Cilic6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Cilic M.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.6
8.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (191 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cilic M.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
85
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
41
71
Deciding sets·Even
94
92
Tiebreaks·Even
87
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cilic M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Shapovalov D.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.6+120 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Grass Elo 1636
5.1Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
1.9
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cilic M.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·Even
98
98

Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Cilic M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-626-3
Semi-finals
Cilic M.
Rodionov J.[5]
6-31-0
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Querrey S.
6-47-5
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Humbert U.[6]
7-657-68
Querrey S.
Stricker D.
6-747-646-3
Rodionov J.[5]
De Minaur A.[4]
3-66-37-64
Cilic M.
Shapovalov D.[1]
7-57-63
R16
Stricker D.
Hurkacz H.[2]
7-657-65
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Harris L.
6-37-64
Rodionov J.[5]
Gojowczyk P.
5-3
Querrey S.
Duckworth J.
6-47-67
Cilic M.
Basilashvili N.[3]
6-36-2
De Minaur A.[4]
Thompson J.
6-786-36-4
Shapovalov D.[1]
Lopez F.
6-26-726-3
Humbert U.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
7-696-2
R32
Basilashvili N.[3]
Brown D.
6-37-64
Hanfmann Y.
Chardy J.
6-46-4
Humbert U.[6]
Fucsovics M.
6-36-1
Stricker D.
Albot R.
7-647-65
Cilic M.
Molleker R.
7-56-3
Duckworth J.
Mannarino A.[7]
6-36-2
Harris L.
Simon G.
6-47-5
Gojowczyk P.
Ivashka I.
5-76-46-2
Rodionov J.[5]
Koepfer D.
2-66-36-2
Thompson J.
Pella G.
6-36-4
Lopez F.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Querrey S.
Celikbilek A.
6-46-1