Maria Sakkari vs Naomi OsakaMiami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
#37WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 March 2021
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Sakkari M.
6-0 6-4
Osaka N.
Sakkari M.
662
Osaka N.
040

Maria Sakkari defeated Naomi Osaka 6-0 6-4 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupRRhardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-2
2020-01-06BrisbaneR32hardNaomi Osaka6-2 6-7(4) 6-3
2019-06-17BirminghamR32grassNaomi Osaka6-1 4-6 6-3
2018-08-13CincinnatiR64hardMaria Sakkari6-3 7-6(8)
2018-03-05Indian WellsR16hardNaomi Osaka6-1 5-7 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Osaka N.
24
Serve
70
39
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 139). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
91
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Slight edge
87
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
85

Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw