Daria Kasatkina vs Varvara GrachevaPhillip Island Trophy Round of 32

Phillip Island Trophy · WTA · Round of 32
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 13 February 2021
hard
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-3
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.
662
Gracheva V.
430

Daria Kasatkina defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3 in the Phillip Island Trophy round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14CincinnatiR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1
2023-03-06Indian WellsR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-4 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardVarvara Gracheva6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Gracheva V.
0
Serve
3
95
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
74
Break points saved·Even
80
76
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Even
93
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw