Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno BustaParis Masters Quarter-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 November 2020
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Nadal R.
4-6 7-5 6-1
Carreno Busta P.
Nadal R.
4762
Carreno Busta P.
6511

Rafael Nadal defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 4-6 7-5 6-1 in the Paris Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 7–0, defending last year's semi-final. Rafael Nadal extended the head-to-head to 8–0.

Key context

Head to head

70
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-19BarcelonaSFclayRafael Nadal6-3 6-2
2020-09-14Rome MastersR32clayRafael Nadal6-1 6-1
2020-01-20Australian OpenR32hardRafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4
2017-05-29Roland GarrosQFclayRafael Nadal6-2 2-0 RET
2016-02-15Rio de JaneiroR32clayRafael Nadal6-1 6-4
2016-01-04DohaR32hardRafael Nadal6-7(5) 6-3 6-1
2015-02-16Rio de JaneiroR16clayRafael Nadal7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Nadal R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Serve advantage — Nadal R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nadal R.Carreno Busta P.
Serve
21
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (133 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
97
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
80
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 79%