

Casper Ruud defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-2 in the Braga CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Casper Ruud narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | RR | hard | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | F | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2019-11-05 | NextGen Finals | RR | hard | Alex De Minaur | 4-1 4-0 4-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Ruud C.: 15 days rest · De Minaur A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About