Dominic Thiem defeated Andrey Rublev 5-7 7-5 7-5 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in leading the head-to-head 5–1. Dominic Thiem narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-10-10 | Gijon | SF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-11-16 | Tour Finals | RR | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2020-10-26 | Vienna | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2019-07-22 | Hamburg | QF | clay | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(3) 7-6(5) |
| 2017-10-23 | Vienna | R32 | hard | Dominic Thiem | 6-4 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.