Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elise MertensCincinnati Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2017
hard
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Sasnovich A.
2-6 7-5 6-2
Mertens E.
Sasnovich A.
2762
Mertens E.
6521

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Elise Mertens 2-6 7-5 6-2 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Aliaksandra Sasnovich narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartR32clayElise Mertens7-6(3) 6-2
2021-11-01BJK Cup Finals RR: BLR vs BELRRhardElise Mertens6-2 4-6 6-2
2021-09-13LuxembourgR16hardElise Mertens3-6 6-2 7-5
2020-08-03PalermoR32clayAliaksandra Sasnovich6-4 6-1
2019-08-05TorontoR64hardElise Mertens3-6 6-3 6-1
2018-09-24WuhanR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Mertens E.
37
Serve
51
35
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
90
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Even
72
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Sasnovich A.: 19 days rest · Mertens E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast