Elise Mertens vs Aliaksandra SasnovichLuxembourg Round of 16

Luxembourg · WTA · Round of 16
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 September 2021
hard
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Mertens E.
3-6 6-2 7-5
Sasnovich A.
Mertens E.
3672
Sasnovich A.
6251

Elise Mertens defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 3-6 6-2 7-5 in the Luxembourg round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Elise Mertens extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartR32clayElise Mertens7-6(3) 6-2
2021-11-01BJK Cup Finals RR: BLR vs BELRRhardElise Mertens6-2 4-6 6-2
2020-08-03PalermoR32clayAliaksandra Sasnovich6-4 6-1
2019-08-05TorontoR64hardElise Mertens3-6 6-3 6-1
2018-09-24WuhanR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Sasnovich A.
51
Serve
37
54
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
79
Break points won·Even
96
93
Deciding sets·Even
76
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+150 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1697
6.9Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1726
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast