Alexander Bublik vs Andrey RublevMoscow Q16

Moscow · ATP · Q16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 October 2016 ·
hard
#14ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
Bublik A.
6-4 7-6
Rublev A.
Bublik A.
67122
Rublev A.
46100

Alexander Bublik defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-6 in the Moscow q16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in leading the head-to-head 5–4, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

Head to head

45
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 0-6 6-4
2025-02-17DohaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7 7-6 6-5
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3 6-7 6-7 6-4
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7 7-6
2019-10-15MoscowR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-4
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.2
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
80
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Clear edge
43
60
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Even
89
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
69
71

Bublik A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw