Gael Monfils vs Pablo Carreno BustaIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#325ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2016
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Monfils G.
7-5 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Monfils G.
7772
Carreno Busta P.
5610

Gael Monfils defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 128. Gael Monfils narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-09-20MetzSFhardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 7-6(8)
2020-10-26ViennaR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 2-0 RET
2016-08-15Cincinnati MastersR64hardGael Monfils6-3 6-4
2015-06-29WimbledonR128grassGael Monfils6-4 6-4 7-5
2014-04-13Monte Carlo MastersR32clayPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Monfils G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Monfils G.Carreno Busta P.
26
Serve
21
37
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
76
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
80
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
10°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw