David Ferrer defeated Nikolay Davydenko 6-3 6-4 in the Valencia quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nikolay Davydenko came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final, but David Ferrer had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on hard. David Ferrer narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-31 | Doha | SF | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2010-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | R16 | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2009-07-19 | Hamburg | SF | clay | Nikolay Davydenko | 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2007-08-13 | Cincinnati Masters | QF | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2004-09-27 | Palermo | QF | clay | David Ferrer | 6-2 2-6 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About