David Ferrer defeated Carlos Moya 1-6 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Moya came in leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's round of 64, but David Ferrer had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on hard. David Ferrer narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-07-23 | Umag | QF | clay | Carlos Moya | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2006-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | R64 | hard | David Ferrer | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2005-07-25 | Umag | QF | clay | Carlos Moya | 6-4 0-6 6-3 |
| 2005-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Carlos Moya | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2003-07-21 | Umag | QF | clay | Carlos Moya | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2003-02-17 | Buenos Aires | R32 | clay | Carlos Moya | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2002-07-15 | Umag | F | clay | Carlos Moya | 6-2 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 127). ATP, WTA & Challenger.