Upset Audit

ITF M25 Ueberlingen 2026: the biggest upsets

The most surprising results of ITF M25 Ueberlingen 2026 in Germany, ranked by the Umpiry Surprise Score— 100 minus the winner's frozen pre-match win probability. The higher the score, the bigger the shock. Tap any result for the full match.

1

Maute J.def.Yevseyev D.

ITF M25 Ueberlingen 2026 — Round of 167-6(3) 6-7(5) 6-4

Pre-match WP: Maute J. 14% · Yevseyev D. 86%

86

Umpiry
Surprise Score

2

Bieldiugin T.def.Kirkin E.

ITF M25 Ueberlingen 2026 — Round of 166-1 6-7(4) 6-2

Pre-match WP: Bieldiugin T. 22% · Kirkin E. 78%

78

Umpiry
Surprise Score

3

Masur D.def.Marterer M.

ITF M25 Ueberlingen 2026 — Quarterfinal7-6(7) 6-3

Pre-match WP: Masur D. 23% · Marterer M. 77%

77

Umpiry
Surprise Score

4

Bieldiugin T.def.Gavrielides L.

ITF M25 Ueberlingen 2026 — Round of 322-6 7-6(2) 6-3

Pre-match WP: Bieldiugin T. 26% · Gavrielides L. 74%

74

Umpiry
Surprise Score

The Umpiry Surprise Score uses a calibrated win probability frozen at match start, never recomputed in hindsight. Only genuine shocks are listed — main-draw results where the winner was a clear underdog (Surprise Score 70+, i.e. a pre-match win probability of 30% or below). It is statistical information, not a betting recommendation.