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Li Tu vs James Mccabe — Sydney Round of 32

SydneyR32HardTue 17 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tu L.5.2/10
Clear underdog
McCabe J.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+10 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · McCabe J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1532Against the prediction · McCabe J.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · McCabe J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 718
Hard ELO1 656
Last 104–6
Age30
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.0M2026 $48K
ELO1 662
Hard ELO1 570
Last 103–7
Age23
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $872K2026 $159K

Li Tu faces James Mccabe in the Sydney round of 32 on hard. James Mccabe holds the paper edge — ranked #287, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · McCabe J. leads 2–1
12

Hard: McCabe J. leads 2–0 · Grass: Tu L. leads 1–0

Evidence

Tu L.McCabe J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate52% (17–16) (ahead)42% (20–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1718 (ahead)1662
Hard-court ELO1656 (ahead)1570
Serve vs returnLast 33 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won73%74% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)32%
Aces / match6.58.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 33 vs 44 matches
Break points saved60%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast18°C · Drizzle
Wind14 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Li Tu vs James Mccabe — Sydney Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-17/mccabe-vs-tu-sydney-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 November 2026).