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Casey Hoole vs Florian Broska — Sydney Round of 32

SydneyR32HardTue 17 Nov · 10:00
Casey HooleATP #636 · AUS46%
VSToss-up
Florian BroskaATP #318 · GER54%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hoole C.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Broska F.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 6 on hardAgainst the prediction · Hoole C.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Hoole C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 567
Hard ELO1 558
Last 107–3
Age23
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 687
Hard ELO1 612
Last 104–6
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hoole C.Broska F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate81% (13–3) (ahead)59% (23–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15671687 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15581612 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)70%
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match9.3 (ahead)4.3
ClutchLast 16 vs 39 matches
Break points saved62%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast18°C · Drizzle
Wind14 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hoole C.Broska F.
3Days since last match5 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
40Games · 7 days33 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
40Games · 14 days33 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Casey Hoole vs Florian Broska — Sydney Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-17/broska-vs-hoole-sydney-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 November 2026).