UMPIRY
EN

Enzo Aguiard vs C. O'Connell — Sydney Round of 32

SydneyR32HardTue 17 Nov · 10:00
Enzo AguiardATP #423 · AUS17%
VSStrong favourite · O'Connell C.
C. O'Connell(2)ATP #117 · AUS83%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · O'Connell C.
17%83%

Clear edge for O'Connell C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Aguiard E.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
O'Connell C.6.4/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports O'Connell C.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 566
Hard ELO1 554
Last 104–6
Age24
ELO1 891
Hard ELO1 796
Last 107–3
Age32

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Aguiard E.O'Connell C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (19–17)56% (20–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15661891 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15541796 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 34 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won73%75% (ahead)
Return points won35%36% (ahead)
Aces / match5.97.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 34 vs 33 matches
Break points saved62%67% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast18°C · Drizzle
Wind14 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Aguiard E.O'Connell C.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
18 — fresherGames · 7 days33
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
18 — fresherGames · 14 days33
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Enzo Aguiard vs C. O'Connell — Sydney Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-17/aguiard-vs-o-connell-sydney-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 November 2026).