UMPIRY
EN

Zhizhen Zhang vs Luca Staeheli — Kobe Round of 32

KobeR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Zhang Z.
59%41%

Zhang Z. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zhang Z.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Staeheli L.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Staeheli L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 776
Hard ELO1 627
Last 103–7
Age30
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.6M2026 $576K
ELO1 654
Hard ELO1 573
Last 106–4
Age26
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $44K2026 $17K

Zhizhen Zhang faces Luca Staeheli in the Kobe round of 32 on hard. Zhizhen Zhang is the paper favourite — ranked #156 — but Luca Staeheli arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Zhizhen Zhang's 3 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zhang Z.Staeheli L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–76–4 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (25–25)67% (28–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1776 (ahead)1654
Hard-court ELO1627 (ahead)1573
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)70%
Return points won33%43% (ahead)
Aces / match8.9 (ahead)3.4
ClutchLast 45 vs 40 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast17°C · Partly cloudy
Wind12 km/h
Humidity59%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zhang Z.Staeheli L.
18 — fresherDays since last match6
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
0 — fresherGames · 7 days36
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
0 — fresherGames · 14 days53
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zhizhen Zhang vs Luca Staeheli — Kobe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/staeheli-vs-zhang-kobe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).