Franco Roncadelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera

UMPIRY

MontevideoR32ClayMon 16 Nov · 10:00

Franco RoncadelliATP #258 · URU45%

VSToss-up

Tomas Barrios VeraATP #191 · CHI55%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Roncadelli F.6.1/10

Even match

Barrios Vera T.6.2/10

Even match

Why

Surface+110 Clay Elo edgeSupports Barrios Vera T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1615Supports Barrios Vera T.

Recent run6-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Roncadelli F.

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on claySupports Barrios Vera T.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 707

Clay ELO1 700

Last 107–3

Age26

Height185 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $201K2026 $73K

ELO1 787

Clay ELO1 699

Last 104–6

Age28

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $300K

Franco Roncadelli faces Tomas Barrios Vera in the Montevideo round of 32 on clay. Tomas Barrios Vera is the paper favourite — ranked #191, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Franco Roncadelli arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Tomas Barrios Vera's 4 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Franco Roncadelli comes in with 1 days of rest and 162 games in 14d, vs Tomas Barrios Vera's 5 and 85.
Head-to-head: Tomas Barrios Vera leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Antofagasta 2026.
Win streak: Franco Roncadelli arrives on a 6-match winning run.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Roncadelli F. and Barrios Vera T. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Roncadelli F. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Barrios Vera T. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Roncadelli F. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Barrios Vera T. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets2–3

6–12Games24–23

0–0Tiebreaks0–1

0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Sweeny D.#116L4-6 2-6Wimbledon · grassL6-4 4-6 6-7 6-0 2-6Wimbledon · grass

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Barrios Vera T. leads 2–0

Barrios Vera T.October 2026AntofagastaClay4-6 2-6
Barrios Vera T.November 2025Montevideo CHClay6-3 6-3

Evidence

Roncadelli F.Barrios Vera T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate62% (40–25)48% (30–32)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17071787

Clay-court ELO17001699

Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 51 matches

1st-serve points won60%65%

Return points won45%39%

Aces / match0.62.6

ClutchLast 63 vs 51 matches

Break points saved56%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast22°C · Overcast

Wind11 km/h

Humidity77%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Roncadelli F.Barrios Vera T.

1Days since last match5

6Matches · 7 days1

111Games · 7 days29

8Matches · 14 days3

162Games · 14 days85

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Franco Roncadelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Montevideo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/roncadelli-vs-vera-montevideo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).