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Amit Vales vs Raphael Perot — Champaign Round of 32

ChampaignR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Amit ValesATP #471 · ISR49%
VSToss-up
Raphael Perot(7)ATP #384 · FRA51%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vales A.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Perot R.4.2/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Vales A.
CountryWon 73% in USA (45)Informative
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 630
Hard ELO1 605
Last 109–1
Age21
EarningsCareer $34K2026 $13K
ELO1 672
Hard ELO1 627
Last 105–5
Age25
EarningsCareer $60K2026 $32K

Amit Vales faces Raphael Perot in the Champaign round of 32 on hard. Raphael Perot is the paper favourite — ranked #384 — but Amit Vales arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Raphael Perot's 5 of 10.

Key context

  • Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Amit Vales rising, Raphael Perot cooling.
  • Fatigue load: Raphael Perot carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Amit Vales 9 of 10, Raphael Perot 5 of 10 on hard recently — Amit Vales the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vales A.Perot R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate65% (30–16) (ahead)59% (27–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16301672 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16051627 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won65%65%
Return points won45% (ahead)43%
Aces / match1.51.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 42 vs 43 matches
Break points saved50%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast7°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Amit Vales vs Raphael Perot — Champaign Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/perot-vs-vales-champaign-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).