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Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo — Drummondville Round of 32

DrummondvilleR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Mayo A.
26%74%

Clear edge for Mayo A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shick B.5.9/10
Even match
Mayo A.6.2/10
Even match
Why
SurfaceHard Elo 1358Informative
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1384Against the prediction · Shick B.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Shick B.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 647
Hard ELO1 608
Last 104–6
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $82K2026 $52K
ELO1 690
Hard ELO1 645
Last 107–3
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $256K2026 $48K

Braden Shick faces Aidan Mayo in the Drummondville round of 32 on hard. Braden Shick is the paper favourite — ranked #206, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Aidan Mayo arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Braden Shick's 4 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Shick B. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Shick B.Mayo A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (25–19)59% (34–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16471690 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16081645 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won68%76% (ahead)
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match4.17.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 37 vs 57 matches
Break points saved56%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast4°C · Overcast
Wind13 km/h
Humidity70%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Shick B.Mayo A.
3Days since last match5 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days2
45 — fresherGames · 7 days51
5 — fresherMatches · 14 days8
88 — fresherGames · 14 days156
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo — Drummondville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/mayo-vs-shick-drummondville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).