N. Podoroska vs Varvara Lepchenko

UMPIRY

LP Open by IND - ColinaR32ClayMon 16 Nov · 13:00 UTC

N. PodoroskaWTA #188 · ARG71%

VSClear favourite · Podoroska N.

Varvara LepchenkoWTA #216 · USA29%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Podoroska N.

71%29%

Clear edge for Podoroska N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Podoroska N.6.0/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Lepchenko V.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Lepchenko V.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headFirst meeting on clayBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 794

Clay ELO1 685

Last 106–4

Age29

Height170 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 644

Clay ELO1 631

Last 104–6

Age40

Height180 cm

PlaysLeft

N. Podoroska faces Varvara Lepchenko in the LP Open by IND - Colina round of 32 on clay. They have met once, Varvara Lepchenko leading 1–0, though this is their first meeting on clay.

Key context

Freshness: N. Podoroska comes in with 16 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Varvara Lepchenko's 5 and 21.
Head-to-head: Varvara Lepchenko leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at W100 Edmond 2026.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Podoroska N. and Lepchenko V. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Podoroska N. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Lepchenko V. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Podoroska N. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Lepchenko V. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets0–2

14–17Games7–12

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Arango E.#173L6-4 5-7 3-6Cincinnati · hardL4-6 3-6Bogota · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Lepchenko V. leads 1–0

Lepchenko V.October 2026W100 EdmondHard2-6 6-2 2-6

Evidence

Podoroska N.Lepchenko V.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate56% (14–11)42% (20–28)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17941644

Clay-court ELO16851631

Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 47 matches

1st-serve points won63%61%

Return points won47%43%

Aces / match1.92.5

ClutchLast 22 vs 47 matches

Break points saved51%56%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Podoroska N.Lepchenko V.

16Days since last match5

0Matches · 7 days1

0Games · 7 days21

0Matches · 14 days1

0Games · 14 days21

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "N. Podoroska vs Varvara Lepchenko — LP Open by IND - Colina Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/lepchenko-vs-podoroska-lp-open-by-ind-colina-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).