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Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Rio Noguchi — Kobe Round of 32

KobeR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kang Leong M.4.4/10
Heavy underdog
Noguchi R.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+339 Hard Elo edgeSupports Noguchi R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1532Supports Noguchi R.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 600
Hard ELO1 580
Last 103–7
Age22
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $66K2026 $18K
ELO1 688
Hard ELO1 646
Last 104–6
Age27
Height168 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $555K2026 $113K

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong faces Rio Noguchi in the Kobe round of 32 on hard. Rio Noguchi holds the paper edge — ranked #233, a roughly 340-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kang Leong M.Noguchi R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (25–19)59% (35–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16001688 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15801646 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)65%
Return points won40%42% (ahead)
Aces / match5.3 (ahead)1.2
ClutchLast 44 vs 58 matches
Break points saved57%57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast17°C · Partly cloudy
Wind12 km/h
Humidity59%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kang Leong M.Noguchi R.
6 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
16 — fresherGames · 7 days79
4Matches · 14 days4
72 — fresherGames · 14 days79
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Rio Noguchi — Kobe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/leong-vs-noguchi-kobe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).