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Arthur Nagel vs Dusan Lajovic — Metz Round of 32

MetzR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Arthur NagelATP #363 · FRA41%
VSSlight edge · Lajovic D.
Dusan LajovicATP #158 · SRB59%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Lajovic D.
41%59%

Lajovic D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Nagel A.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Lajovic D.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Lajovic D.
Recent runLost last 6Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 659
Hard ELO1 548
Last 107–3
Age23
EarningsCareer $59K2026 $23K
ELO1 815
Hard ELO1 664
Last 105–5
Age36
EarningsCareer $10.8M2026 $348K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Nagel A.Lajovic D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate63% (22–13) (ahead)52% (32–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16591815 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15481664 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won70%70%
Return points won39% (ahead)37%
Aces / match4.2 (ahead)4.1
ClutchLast 26 vs 56 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Partly cloudy
Wind18 km/h
Humidity74%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Nagel A.Lajovic D.
8 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days6
1Matches · 14 days1
14Games · 14 days6 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Arthur Nagel vs Dusan Lajovic — Metz Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/lajovic-vs-nagel-metz-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).