UMPIRY
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Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones — Drummondville Qualifying Round of 32

DrummondvilleQ32QualifyingHardMon 16 Nov · 18:00
Maximilian MartererGER78%
VSClear favourite · Marterer M.
Ben JonesATP #834 · GBR22%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Marterer M.
78%22%

Clear edge for Marterer M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Marterer M.4.2/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Jones B.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardSupports Marterer M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 744
Hard ELO1 632
Last 108–2
Age31
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
ELO1 551
Hard ELO1 517
Last 103–7
Age28
Height193 cm
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Marterer M.Jones B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate63% (12–7) (ahead)43% (12–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1744 (ahead)1551
Hard-court ELO1632 (ahead)1517
Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won73%74% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)31%
Aces / match4.28.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 17 vs 26 matches
Break points saved66% (ahead)65%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

18:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast4°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity80%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones — Drummondville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/jones-vs-marterer-drummondville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).