UMPIRY
EN

Maxim Mrva vs Kyrian Jacquet — Metz Round of 32

MetzR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Jacquet K.
34%66%

Jacquet K. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mrva M.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Jacquet K.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+160 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jacquet K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1685Supports Jacquet K.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Jacquet K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 703
Hard ELO1 580
Last 106–4
Age19
EarningsCareer $116K2026 $50K
ELO1 868
Hard ELO1 705
Last 105–5
Age25
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $503K

Maxim Mrva faces Kyrian Jacquet in the Metz round of 32 on hard. Kyrian Jacquet is the paper favourite — ranked #85, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Maxim Mrva arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Kyrian Jacquet's 2 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mrva M.Jacquet K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate57% (37–28)63% (37–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17031868 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15801705 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won64%74% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.06.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 63 vs 58 matches
Break points saved52%61% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Partly cloudy
Wind18 km/h
Humidity74%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mrva M.Jacquet K.
9 — fresherDays since last match3
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
0 — fresherGames · 7 days51
3Matches · 14 days3
84Games · 14 days71 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maxim Mrva vs Kyrian Jacquet — Metz Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/jacquet-vs-mrva-metz-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).