Philip Henning vs Hugo Gaston — Metz Round of 32
Why
Surface+144 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Gaston H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1622Against the prediction · Gaston H.
Recent run4-match win streakSupports Henning P.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Gaston H.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 760
Hard ELO1 728
Last 107–3
Age26
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $116K2026 $39K
ELO1 809
Hard ELO1 686
Last 103–7
Age26
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $4.2M2026 $566K
Philip Henning faces Hugo Gaston in the Metz round of 32 on hard. Hugo Gaston is the paper favourite — ranked #109, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Philip Henning arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard to Hugo Gaston's 3 of 8.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Philip Henning 128 games in 14 days, Hugo Gaston 30.
- Form trend: Philip Henning's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Hugo Gaston's has cooled.
- Surface form: Philip Henning 6 of 8, Hugo Gaston 3 of 8 on hard recently — Philip Henning the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Henning P.Gaston H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate65% (39–21) (ahead)51% (35–33)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17601809 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1728 (ahead)1686
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 62 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)68%
Return points won42% (ahead)40%
Aces / match3.2 (ahead)2.7
ClutchLast 54 vs 62 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Philip Henning vs Hugo Gaston — Metz Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/gaston-vs-henning-metz-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).