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Mili Poljicak vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Kobe Round of 32

KobeR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Hara Friend J.
32%68%

Clear edge for Hara Friend J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Poljicak M.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Hara Friend J.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+184 Hard Elo edgeSupports Hara Friend J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1503Supports Hara Friend J.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Poljicak M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 690
Hard ELO1 551
Last 102–8
Age22
PlaysRight
ELO1 715
Hard ELO1 673
Last 106–4
Age22
PlaysRight

Mili Poljicak faces Jay Dylan Hara Friend in the Kobe round of 32 on hard. Jay Dylan Hara Friend holds the paper edge — ranked #256, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Poljicak M.Hara Friend J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–86–4 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (23–21)65% (36–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16901715 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15511673 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)71%
Return points won37%38% (ahead)
Aces / match6.2 (ahead)5.2
ClutchLast 43 vs 48 matches
Break points saved58%64% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast17°C · Partly cloudy
Wind12 km/h
Humidity59%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Poljicak M.Hara Friend J.
5 — fresherDays since last match2
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
30 — fresherGames · 7 days70
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
53 — fresherGames · 14 days70
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mili Poljicak vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Kobe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/friend-vs-poljicak-kobe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).