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Gavin Young vs Andrew Fenty — Champaign Round of 32

ChampaignR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Gavin YoungATP #530 · USA37%
VSSlight edge · Fenty A.
Andrew FentyATP #478 · USA63%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Fenty A.
37%63%

Fenty A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Young G.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Fenty A.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 5 on hardAgainst the prediction · Young G.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 57% in USA (105)Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 504
Hard ELO1 502
Last 103–4
Age24
ELO1 603
Hard ELO1 577
Last 105–5
Age26

Gavin Young faces Andrew Fenty in the Champaign round of 32 on hard. Andrew Fenty holds the paper edge — ranked #478. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Gavin Young comes in with 20 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Andrew Fenty's 7 and 97.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 7 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Young G.Fenty A.
FormLast 7 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss3–45–5 (ahead)
Season win rate43% (3–4)45% (19–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15041603 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15021577 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won67%68% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)38%
Aces / match4.7 (ahead)4.3
ClutchLast 7 vs 39 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast7°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Young G.Fenty A.
20 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days18
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
0 — fresherGames · 14 days97
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gavin Young vs Andrew Fenty — Champaign Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/fenty-vs-young-champaign-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).