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Gauthier Onclin vs Thomas Faurel — Metz Round of 32

MetzR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Onclin G.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Faurel T.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+199 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Onclin G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1567Against the prediction · Onclin G.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 732
Hard ELO1 649
Last 102–8
Age25
EarningsCareer $672K2026 $155K
ELO1 676
Hard ELO1 562
Last 107–3
Age20
EarningsCareer $196K2026 $142K

Gauthier Onclin faces Thomas Faurel in the Metz round of 32 on hard. Gauthier Onclin is the paper favourite — ranked #170, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage — but Thomas Faurel arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on hard to Gauthier Onclin's 2 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Onclin G.Faurel T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–87–3 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (26–23) (ahead)52% (28–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1732 (ahead)1676
Hard-court ELO1649 (ahead)1562
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won39%41% (ahead)
Aces / match2.12.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 46 vs 53 matches
Break points saved56%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Partly cloudy
Wind18 km/h
Humidity74%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gauthier Onclin vs Thomas Faurel — Metz Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/faurel-vs-onclin-metz-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).