Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Darja Semenistaja

UMPIRY

LP Open by IND - ColinaR32ClayMon 16 Nov · 13:00 UTC

Irene Burillo EscorihuelaWTA #213 · ESP52%

VSToss-up

Darja Semenistaja(8)WTA #175 · LAT48%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Burillo Escorihuela I.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Semenistaja D.6.1/10

Even match

Why

Surface+278 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Semenistaja D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1654Against the prediction · Semenistaja D.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Semenistaja D.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 668

Clay ELO1 660

Last 105–5

Age29

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $617K2026 $76K

ELO1 730

Clay ELO1 669

Last 103–7

Age24

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $348K

Irene Burillo Escorihuela faces Darja Semenistaja in the LP Open by IND - Colina round of 32 on clay. Darja Semenistaja holds the paper edge — ranked #175, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Under pressure: Darja Semenistaja has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 76 vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela's 39).
Head-to-head: Darja Semenistaja leads the head-to-head 2–0, 0–1 on clay. Last met at San Sebastian 125 2025.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Semenistaja D. leads 2–0

Clay: Semenistaja D. leads 1–0 · Hard: Semenistaja D. leads 1–0

Semenistaja D.September 2025San Sebastian 125Clay6-1 7-5
Semenistaja D.February 2022W25 CancunHard6-3 6-2

Evidence

Burillo Escorihuela I.Semenistaja D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–53–7

Season win rate57% (34–26)45% (25–30)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16681730

Clay-court ELO16601669

Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 54 matches

1st-serve points won55%58%

Return points won48%45%

Aces / match0.51.5

ClutchLast 56 vs 54 matches

Break points saved50%47%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Darja Semenistaja — LP Open by IND - Colina Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/escorihuela-vs-semenistaja-lp-open-by-ind-colina-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).