UMPIRY
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James Duckworth vs Eero Vasa — Helsinki Round of 32

HelsinkiR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Duckworth J.
62%38%

Duckworth J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Duckworth J.6.2/10
Even match
Vasa E.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+266 Hard Elo edgeSupports Duckworth J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1628Supports Duckworth J.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 832
Hard ELO1 705
Last 102–8
Age34
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 644
Hard ELO1 556
Last 105–5
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight

James Duckworth faces Eero Vasa in the Helsinki round of 32 on hard. James Duckworth is the paper favourite — ranked #76, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage — but Eero Vasa arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on hard to James Duckworth's 2 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Duckworth J.Vasa E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–85–5 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (27–30)53% (31–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1832 (ahead)1644
Hard-court ELO1705 (ahead)1556
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 47 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)71%
Return points won33%39% (ahead)
Aces / match7.8 (ahead)5.8
ClutchLast 52 vs 47 matches
Break points saved70% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast5°C · Drizzle
Wind43 km/h
Humidity86%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Duckworth J.Vasa E.
6Days since last match12 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
18Games · 7 days0 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
18 — fresherGames · 14 days66
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "James Duckworth vs Eero Vasa — Helsinki Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/duckworth-vs-vasa-helsinki-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).