Keegan Rice vs Liam Draxl | Drummondville Round of 32

UMPIRY

DrummondvilleR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00

Keegan RiceATP #575 · CAN20%

VSStrong favourite · Draxl L.

Liam Draxl(5)ATP #165 · CAN80%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Draxl L.

20%80%

Clear edge for Draxl L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Rice K.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Draxl L.6.2/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Draxl L.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headTrails 1–2 on hardAgainst the prediction · Rice K.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 551

Hard ELO1 538

Last 105–5

Age20

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $50K2026 $39K

ELO1 787

Hard ELO1 704

Last 106–4

Age24

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $718K2026 $267K

Keegan Rice faces Liam Draxl in the Drummondville round of 32 on hard. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #165, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Liam Draxl rising, Keegan Rice cooling.
Head-to-head: Liam Draxl leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at M25 Laval 2026.
Fatigue load: Liam Draxl carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Draxl L. leads 2–1

Rice K.July 2026M25 LavalHard3-6 4-6
Draxl L.July 2024M25 Laval 1Hard6-4 6-3
Draxl L.October 2022M25 Saint-Augustin 1Hard6-0 6-3

Evidence

Rice K.Draxl L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate60% (9–6)63% (45–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15511787

Hard-court ELO15381704

Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 64 matches

1st-serve points won66%69%

Return points won42%41%

Aces / match2.04.9

ClutchLast 11 vs 64 matches

Break points saved51%57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast4°C · Overcast

Wind13 km/h

Humidity70%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Keegan Rice vs Liam Draxl — Drummondville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/draxl-vs-rice-drummondville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).