Niels Peter Van Noord vs Joshua Charlton

UMPIRY

DrummondvilleQ32QualifyingHardMon 16 Nov · 18:00

Niels Peter Van NoordCAN46%

VSToss-up

Joshua CharltonATP #873 · AUS54%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Van Noord N.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Charlton J.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 495

Hard ELO1 503

Last 103–7

Age26

ELO1 524

Hard ELO1 512

Last 102–8

Age27

Niels Peter Van Noord faces Joshua Charlton in the Drummondville qualifying round of 32 on hard. Niels Peter Van Noord brings the better recent hard form (3 of 7).

Key context

Fatigue load: Niels Peter Van Noord carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Niels Peter Van Noord 3 of 7, Joshua Charlton 1 of 7 on hard recently — Niels Peter Van Noord the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Van Noord N.Charlton J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–72–8

Season win rate36% (5–9)32% (11–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14951524

Hard-court ELO15031512

Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 23 matches

1st-serve points won63%70%

Return points won38%34%

Aces / match3.66.4

ClutchLast 7 vs 23 matches

Break points saved56%72%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

18:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast4°C · Overcast

Wind10 km/h

Humidity80%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Niels Peter Van Noord vs Joshua Charlton — Drummondville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/charlton-vs-noord-drummondville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).