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Sofia Costoulas vs Nuria Brancaccio — LP Open by IND - Colina Round of 32

LP Open by IND - ColinaR32ClayMon 16 Nov · 13:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Costoulas S.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Brancaccio N.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+14 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Costoulas S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1565Against the prediction · Costoulas S.
Head-to-headTrails 0–2 on clayInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 650
Clay ELO1 581
Last 102–8
Age21
EarningsCareer $378K2026 $165K
ELO1 675
Clay ELO1 678
Last 107–3
Age26
EarningsCareer $621K2026 $144K

Sofia Costoulas faces Nuria Brancaccio in the LP Open by IND - Colina round of 32 on clay. Sofia Costoulas is the paper favourite — ranked #183 — but Nuria Brancaccio has won both their previous meetings. Nuria Brancaccio brings the better recent clay form (3 of 4).

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Costoulas S. and Brancaccio N. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Costoulas S. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Brancaccio N. 0–1 (0%).

1–0100%Costoulas S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–10%Brancaccio N. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–0Sets1–2
12–2Games12–17
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Brancaccio N. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Costoulas S.Brancaccio N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–87–3 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (32–32)53% (30–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16501675 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15811678 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)58%
Return points won45%47% (ahead)
Aces / match3.1 (ahead)1.3
ClutchLast 62 vs 53 matches
Break points saved52% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sofia Costoulas vs Nuria Brancaccio — LP Open by IND - Colina Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/brancaccio-vs-costoulas-lp-open-by-ind-colina-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).